Whatever the case, a wounded ISS will have been fairly rotten luck. Back in 2017, scientists from NASA and a Russian space contractor put the odds of this worst-case scenario at 1 in 121. As of late 2025, NASA told WIRED the risk of debris causing a depressurization event in any six-month period was somewhere between 1 in 36 and 1 in 170.
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At least 15 killed after military plane carrying banknotes crashes in Bolivia
英國國家社會研究中心的資深研究員約翰·柯蒂斯爵士（Prof Sir John Curtice）表示，他們每年持續得到相同趨勢，讓他對其結果比對YouGov的兩個單點數字更有信心。